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In a recent week, a mere 3600 people filed, suggesting that the new laws have scared people away. On the other hand, perhaps the numbers have been skewed by the large number of people who filed in early October, many of whom may have had only a marginal need. Only so many people are likely to file in a given year; if most of them file at one time then there will be fewer to file later.
Still, the numbers now are 90% lower than they were during this time last year, an astonishing drop. Experts predict that the drop in filers won’t last long, however. Heating bills are much higher for many people this winter than they have been in years past, with some people reporting that their bills have increased fourfold since last winter. Another factor is the increase in minimum credit card payments, which, for those with high amounts of credit card debt, may be enough to force them into bankruptcy. Many people will be adversely affected by both factors, and that may lead to a huge increase in filings in the summer of 2006.
Some problems associated with the surge of new filers last fall will still persist, particularly the problem of hiring a lawyer. It’s true that many attorneys are charging higher rates than they were a year ago, but that’s almost irrelevant, as most of them are simply too busy dealing with existing cases to accept any new clients. This could result in what those in the financial sector consider the worst scenario of all - tens of thousands of people who neither pay nor declare themselves insolvent, but simply stop paying and do their best to disappear.
The nation is best served when those who need help with the legal and court system can get that help when they need it. We may be seeing that unusual set of circumstances that lead to a worst-case scenario, and that could lead to higher costs for all consumers when it comes to borrowing money.
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